Author Page for Doug Tjaden
Married, father of 5 home schooled children. Pastor/Elder at The Mountain Church in Seymour, MO. Have been a passionate student of global economics with a biblical worldview since early 2003. Heart is to see all Christians free to serve Christ as He calls.
Outlook 2014 – 2011 Mid Year Update
This is the first update to the “Outlook” paper released January 1st, 2011. In that work I outlined a possible scenario whereby the United States would be taken to the economic and political brink by the year 2014, as several long established trends converge. Originally I had planned to provide updates every six months. This update was delayed because of the nature of the nation’s debt ceiling debate. It was more protracted and contentious than I had anticipated. How it was resolved has dramatically altered the landscape of our nation’s fiscal policy.
Economist Herbert Stein said “If something cannot go on forever, it will stop.” This is a simple, but profound observation. From an economic standpoint, and as it applies to the United States, that means that one cannot continue to go into debt in order to solve a debt problem. Headlines in the days since the ceiling was raised say it all:
Click here to download the .pdf.
View Post
The Next Phase Begins
In 2010, the world caught its breath after the global financial system nearly collapsed. In 2011, powerful trends are converging which will take the United States to the brink financially and politically. A divided nation, a sleeping church and wave two of our economic crisis are dead ahead.
By dead ahead, I mean they are coming over the horizon at this very moment. It does not mean that we are going to tip over into a hyperinflationary depression and total anarchy in the next three months. It does mean however, that trends are accelerating. The debt ceiling debate has pulled the veil from many American’s eyes. The degree of cognitive dissonance is increasing. More Americans are overcoming their normalcy bias. They are searching for answers to some very difficult problems.
The church. Well, lets just say the the church is still having a nice nap. The prophets are awakening, but they are having about as much effect as Jeremiah and Isaiah did early in their ministries. That doesn’t mean we stop trying – and praying. It just means we have to recognize it for what it is.
Deal with reality or it will deal with you. Until next time, enjoy your family, enjoy your love for Christ. There is nothing that we are going to go through that cannot be overcome by His love and mercy.
Got Jesus?
In Him,
Doug
The Rhetoric Gets Stronger
The trend is in place. This is simply a warm up….
————————————————————–
“We are absolutely outraged. This is the functional equivalent of bombing innocent civilians,” she said. “It’s time that the District of Columbia told the Congress to go straight to hell,” Norton continued after explaining how an attached rider to the latest bill prevented D.C. from spending its own money on abortions for low income women. “If these Republicans insist that, if they don’t get the whole pie they’ll take the whole country down with them,” she continued, “then we have got to make them pay the price.”
There is “a war on women,” House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi says, and it’s being led by her own colleagues on the other side of the aisle in Congress.
“Speaker John Boehner is ready to shut down the government, including District of Columbia city services like trash collection,” it says on the page. “Well, if he won’t allow us to use OUR TAX DOLLARS to pick it up, maybe we should just BRING IT TO HIM.”
And finally….
————————————————————-
“If You Try to Take Our Firearms, We Will Kill You”
Posted on March 4, 2011 by Guest Writer
by Doug Book
Last December 14th Border Patrol Agent Brian Terry was killed during an Arizona shootout with members of a Mexican drug cartel. But before the facts surrounding this murder could be buried with its victim, David Codrea and Mike Vanderboegh brought the story to the American public. Working with contacts within the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, and Firearms (ATF), these men revealed what is now known as Project “Gunwalker”…
The investigative work they have done into Project Gunwalker and the ATF’s attempts to cover its tracks earn Codrea and Vanderboegh kudos from justice lovers and 2nd amendment supporters everywhere.
“I used to argue history, facts and common sense with such as you [a professor/anti-gun advocate], but gave it up as a bad job”, he writes of once being asked his opinions on gun control by a citizen disarmament advocate. And when asked by the fellow for a “short answer” summing up his views, Vanderboegh simply answered, “If you try to take our firearms, we will kill you.” “It boils down to that”, he continues. “If you try to take our firearms (liberty, property, insert any other God-given, inalienable right) we will kill you.”
Words from Jim Sinclair
I have been following Jim Sinclair’s writings for years. He has focused on the gold market as a means to protect your wealth. He often talks in somewhat coded language. This is by far his strongest, direct warning to prepare. Please take heed.
My suggestion for those who have not yet done so is to 1) secure a source for clean water. That may be as simple as several good water filters. Remember, wells will not work without electricity. City water? Don’t count on it. 2) get a food supply set aside. This is a long discussion, however I suggest some food grade buckets, mylar bags, wheat, rice and beans (don’t forget baking supplies such as baking soda and baking powder)- dried fruits, canned goods, etc. etc.
Now it the time. At best I believe we have a couple of years before some kind of dislocation happens. I’ll say it again – now is the time. Are you ready?
The System Has Failed
Posted: Apr 07 2011 By: Jim Sinclair Post Edited: April 7, 2011 at 11:22 pm
Filed under: General Editorial
Dear CIGAs,
The system has failed. It failed the day that Lehman Brothers was flushed.
There is a financial condition of an ocean of liquidity making the broken remains of a failed financial system in the Western world opaque.
There is no future failure coming. What is coming is a mass realization that exposes the fact there is no functioning system under all this liquidity. It is a sharp contraction in confidence that lies down the road. Realize this and know that there is one more step you need to make.
Having the largest pile of gold and silver without considering one more step might make you a modern Midas.
There is more to insurance than simply financial. Shortages of goods and services will occur because of currency induced cost push inflation resulting in dislocations of the organization and compensation in the distribution functions. That means there could be ample food in the system but little available on the shelf of your local market.
Because of the ill-understood world shaping changes in the Middle East, the impact of “Peak Oil” on price has been sharply accelerated. Public utilities considered now as a human right will prove themselves to be privileges. Expectation of power on a constant basis will become a hollow expectation.
If you do not have the experience of living in India and Africa in the 80s, you have no idea of how to live in a Western World experiencing long term currency induced cost push inflation. Self reliance will become as important as your holdings in gold. To have a huge pile of gold but remain totally dependent on the infrastructure of the Western World system is a serious mistake. You would have substantial capital but lack goods and services to buy. You will be able to afford much, but much will be either in short supply or illegal.
You know more about what is occurring than 99% of investors.
You are the 1% that knows the SYSTEM HAS FAILED.
You are the 1% that knows the system failed the minute Lehman Brothers was flushed.
You are the 1% not looking for some failure in the future but know there is no system below the flood of liquidity.
You are the 1% that has been exposed to the concept of currency induced cost push.
You are the 1% that can understand the future.
Please be that 1% that is not seduced by your profits and fails to take the last step to the best degree they can.
The picture above is another aspect of Sunnyfield’s Farm. It is one of two 20KW generators powered by a marine diesel engine. There is a special fuel filter system custom designed that allows this engine to run on low grade heating oil. There is at all times 14,000 gallons of fuel buried. This fuel is diesel, heating oil and gasoline. This is at best a short-term answer to the predictable failure of fossil fuel electric generation. The longer term solution is wind power banking batteries and a converter.
I will walk you through everything that I have done in hopes that you might use it as a model to improve on.
Regards,
Jim
This is why the Outlook is what it is.
This is THE issue that will define the next period in the history of this nation – the struggle between the states and the Federal Government. The battle will be on many different fronts, but at its core, this is it – and it’s heating up. For any of you who do not get Whistleblower Magazine, I highly suggest it. It is one of my most anticipated monthly reads.
States of Rebellion
How legislators and governors nationwide are challenging a rogue president
Posted: April 05, 2011
6:17 pm Eastern
© 2011 WorldNetDaily
While millions of outraged Americans protest what they see as a lawless and power-mad Obama administration, many wonder how much clout individuals can really have in reining in a wildly out-of-control government.
But suppose, in addition to citizens with little power beyond their vote, those standing up to the federal government were named Virginia, Texas, Arizona, Utah, Wyoming, New Hampshire, Tennessee, Montana, Maine, South Dakota – and many more?
Incredibly, though under-reported by the establishment press, that’s exactly what is happening right now, as the April issue of Whistleblower documents in-depth, in “STATES OF REBELLION: How legislators and governors nationwide are openly challenging a rogue president.”
 |
A wide-ranging rebellion is indeed under way – by a large majority of states – against what they claim are intolerable and blatantly unconstitutional encroachments by the federal government. And they are seriously intent on declaring such unconstitutional laws null and void in their state.
Read more: STATES OF REBELLION http://www.wnd.com/?pageId=283237#ixzz1IqIOwHsP
Black Swans are in Flight
It’s been quite a month. Heads down for 70+ hrs a week to launch a web site aimed at helping people understand and engage in the effort to return to honest money. The Honest Money Center is formed with the prayer that over time, it will have the same impact as the 10th Amendment Center is having.
With Utah passing their sound money bill into law, the first shot across the Federal Reserve’s bow has been fired. It very well could be looked at as a historical event in the decades to come.
Outside of that, the 2014 Outlook continues to unfold as scripted. I must say that some events are progressing faster than I had thought, mainly due to the flock of black swans that have been let loose. Japan’s nuclear problems, post earthquake/tsunami, the unrest/war in the Middle East…. Right now its too early to declare the Outlook has accelerated. Economic statistics are improving, which will counter some of the other issues for a short time.
Over the next few years, there will be an ebb and flow that will at times make it seem as though we are heading for a collapse in weeks/months. Then we may enter a period that makes it appear as though it may be many years. Keep your eye on the overall trend. It is still in motion. In my opinion there is nothing short of an act of God that will stop us from experiencing a form of what was written in the paper.
The precious metals markets are near all time highs again. Silver is on fire. It seems to want $40/oz before correcting. I still fully hold to my prediction that we will see a very sharp pullback in all markets, including commodities and precious metals sometime this year. The 2011 deflationary scare will likely begin when QE2 comes to an end or shortly before. That assumes it will end.
The unknown factor now in that equation is the shock that Japan’s woes will bring to the world economy. If it manifests itself prior to QE2 ending, we could see an extension or a roll right into QE3. This could possibly a) place the beginning of the correction in the May time frame and b) make it a very brief one, as it becomes evident that the Fed (and most of the world’s central banks) will print, print, print.
Should the Fed end QE2 in the face of a new global economic downturn, we will see a very ugly sell off again. Maybe not as bad as 2008, but breathtaking none-the-less. The result would be, there would only be a few weeks/months between the end of QE2 and a QE3, and QE3 would be a doozy.
Oh, and just a quickey on the Police State front. This from Republican Senator Lindsay Graham:
Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-S.C.), a military lawyer, is the first member of Congress to say the legislature needs to explore the possibility, however unlikely, of limiting some kinds of free speech – like Terry Jones’ Quran burning – that help America’s enemies. “I wish we could find a way to hold people accountable. Free speech is a great idea, but we’re in a war,” he told CBS’s Bob Schieffer on “Face the Nation.”
A great idea? But….. we are at war! Really? When was war declared? When does war predicate suspension of 1st Amendment rights? It is happening people. Help your friends remove their rose colored glasses before it is too late.
And I haven’t even spoken of the dire finances of the states and large municipalities….
As I said in the Outlook paper. Lots of variables. None can be perfectly predicted. Stay alert.
Now that the big push for the web site release is over, I plan to give weekly or bi-weekly updates. That’s the plan. We’ll see how it goes.
Invest where God is blessing
This post is to those who have subscribed to the newsfeed and/or subscribed to the email notification. First of all, I want to thank you for your interest in what I am trying to do here. It is you whom I write for primarily, and if it makes sense, I would like to continue to do.
Reality says there are only so many hours in the day. Right now God is opening up tremendous opportunity for me to fight the battle for honest money on a level I could not have dreamed only a year or two ago. I’ve been working with people in South Carolina, Idaho and will soon be working with others, to help them grow a grass roots organization to fight this evil – a battle you all know is where my heart of hearts is – at the state and national level.
Right now I am developing (in conjunction with my employeer MassMetal, LLC, developers of the SilverSaver program) a web site called the Honest Money Center, which will be launched in March 2011. I am incredibly blessed to work with a group of godly men who get it, and have allowed me to work in a position that acts as a ministry as well, using what God has given me to help grow a company and educate a people. The new site will have as contributors some of the most respected people in the world in honest money battle. The potential is huge. Obviously, helping grow our company (putting God’s money into the hands of the masses) and this new site is occupying a great deal of my time and energy.
With that said, the Traditions of Men site has always held a special place in my heart. It is where the Lord has used me to help people on what feels to me, like a more personal level. The site has, however, seemed to flattened out in its reach. Maybe God is moving me on, maybe He isn’t. I happen to love reading through and writing on the important issues of the day. The object however, was to see people who valued it pass the site to others so that they could become informed and prepare for what is coming. If you value this site and the information here, please pass it along to your friends, co-workers, family, etc.
We do not have the luxury of many years to prepare. It takes people time to read, accept, and then act. If all I am doing is preaching to the choir here, then this site is not the best use of my time. My heart is to help a growing number of people understand and track what is happening. If my message is too radical to be shared, or if it simply is being rejected when it is, then I have to take that as a cue to invest elsewhere for a season. It doesn’t mean the site will go away, it simply means my updates will drop to monthly. And reality is, those types of sites generally die off.
So you let me know. Post a comment, and pass it on to as many people as you feel need to hear what is coming – not who you feel will accept it. I track site hits and subscriptions and will know quickly if it is growing. If it is (I don’t have to reach thousands) then I will continue to invest. It is time to make a decision.
May the Lord bless each of you and your families! You are special to me and I pray you will be wise in the years to come.
What in the world is going on?
Current events have not changed my outlook for the next four years at all. In fact, they continue to validate at least the overall premise that we are headed for extraordinary times in this nation.
Civil unrest is now taking a more partisan form. Rather than general protests over taxes, spending, lack of leadership, etc., some states have upped the ante by striking at the heart of the Democratic party – the Unions. By focusing on budget cuts that include unions (not exclusively, but simply including them in the austerity) these states have fired a shot across the bow of one of the Democratic Party’s sacred cows.
In return, Obama (he is the first person to occupy the White Hose whom I refuse to refer to “President” even out of respect for the office) has upped the ante on social conservatives by refusing to defend the Defense of Marriage Act, or DOMA. In response, Presidential candidate (he will run) Newt Gingrich is pandering to social conservatives with a veiled threat of impeachment. Gingrich: If Palin Took Obama Actions, There Would Be Calls for Impeachment.
Make no mistake. The geopolitical chaos is a breeding ground for domestic chaos, and both parties are increasing their hard line stances – defining their “lines in the sand.” As these lines become deeper and more visible, it will serve to frame the battle when it erupts. And at the current pace, erupt it will.
The police state continues to expand and is now increasingly targeting our children. See Arvada Police arrest 11 year old over inappropriate stick figures and Deputies seek protection after threatening family. Public school or home school. The police are set to intimidate families and children. They almost seem to be probing to find out just how people will fight back, assuming that people’s children are something they will fight for. What they learn will tell them a lot about how far they can expand their police state before they have to deal with real opposition. Sadly, it appears as though it will be very far down the line.
Now, enter the pro-life debate. Defunding of Planned Abortionhood should have happened eons ago. However now it is a real threat. These traditionally “compromised” areas of social conservatives are being addressed with steps that actually have teeth – baby teeth yes, teeth none-the-less. And it has the left going nuts.
Oh yes, if homosexuals, abortionists and unions are not enough of a minefield, lets talk about food. The good ole’ police state is claiming now that walnuts are drugs and need to be regulated. Big Pharma can’t have natural cures now can it.
Add to all of this the fact that inflation is raging. Calls for shortages of vegetables due to the late frost in Mexico has people expecting a doubling of prices of some foods in the next few weeks. Gas is well over $3 per gallon nation wide. Monetary policies are one thing, but when the geopolitical world gets lit on fire, there is no telling what oil can do.
My sense is that a growing number of “average” Americans are getting quite uneasy about the future. They are beginning to sense that their ‘normalcy bias’ is about to be exposed in a very powerful and unpleasant manner. The rhetoric used in nearly every political arena is growing more intense. This is exactly what was predicted just two months ago. If you haven’t done it, read the Outlook 2014 paper. It is early, however it is playing out as scripted.
Agenda – Grinding America Down (5 star!)
Outlook 2014 – 2012 First Annual Update
Here is the first annual update for Outlook 2014. In it I look at the predictions made in the original paper, examine the “state of the the trends” and look forward to what we can expect in 2012. Please read and pass on to your friends. Education is powerful. Please be a part of spreading truth!
Click here to download the PDF file.
View Post